A Compass Without Magnetic Needle: Anura Kumara Presidency in a Cloud Cuckoo Land

In our earlier essay posted on April 09, 2024, we invited our readers to forget arithmetical calculations and predictions based on absurd statistical computations and to pay attention to economic, political, socio-cultural factors influencing polls, in relation to Sri Lanka. In the second part of this essay, we intend to discuss briefly such economic, political and socio-cultural factors which influenced the electoral victories in 1956, 1970, 1977, 1994, 2005, 2010, 2019 and 2020respectively. Without giving due consideration to historical and cultural memory it’s a futile exercise predicting election victories based on absurd mathematical computations.

Our conclusion is that factors that were favorable to winners in 1956, 1970, 1977, 1994, 2005, 2010,2019 and 2020 do not exist today in favour of an NPP victory. Above all else personal attributes and leadership qualities of the NPP leader are disadvantageous for an electoral victory | read more on Lankaweb